Friday, November 25, 2011
NFL Week Twelve Picks
Both of my picks on Thanksgiving were winners, making me 35-49, down 13.1 units. I'm going to try another Hail Mary, in the form of a five-team parlay. To recap: these are not individual bets, but one bet where they all have to hit to pay 20-1. If any or all of them lose, it's just one loss. Here we go.
Cincinnati -7 vs. Cleveland
Houston -4 at Jacksonville
Carolina -3 at Indianapolis
Atlanta -9 vs. Minnesota
Pittsburgh -10 at Kansas City
Cincinnati -7 vs. Cleveland
Houston -4 at Jacksonville
Carolina -3 at Indianapolis
Atlanta -9 vs. Minnesota
Pittsburgh -10 at Kansas City
Wednesday, November 23, 2011
Thanksgiving Day Picks
Both of my exotics lost last week, but my straight bets were 4-1, making my season record 33-49, -16.7 units. I have one NFL pick for Thursday, and a college parlay.
Miami +7 at Dallas
Texas +8.5 at Texas A&M, AND under 53.5 points total.
Miami +7 at Dallas
Texas +8.5 at Texas A&M, AND under 53.5 points total.
Saturday, November 19, 2011
NFL Week Eleven Picks
I stink. Last week's 2-4 record leaves me at 29-46, down 17.6 units. Writeups are suspended until I start winning.
Oakland +1.5 at Minnesota
Seattle at St. Louis under 39.5 points
Chicago -3.5 vs. San Diego
Philadelphia at New York Giants over 45.5 points
New England -14.5 vs. Kansas City
Two exotics this week:
Green Bay -14 vs. Tampa Bay AND over 48.5 points. Pays 2.6 units if both happen, loses 1 unit if either loses.
And a three-team teaser:
Buffalo +8 at Miami
Oakland +7.5
Dallas -1.5 at Washington
Oakland +1.5 at Minnesota
Seattle at St. Louis under 39.5 points
Chicago -3.5 vs. San Diego
Philadelphia at New York Giants over 45.5 points
New England -14.5 vs. Kansas City
Two exotics this week:
Green Bay -14 vs. Tampa Bay AND over 48.5 points. Pays 2.6 units if both happen, loses 1 unit if either loses.
And a three-team teaser:
Buffalo +8 at Miami
Oakland +7.5
Dallas -1.5 at Washington
Saturday, November 12, 2011
NFL Week Ten Picks
Disaster. No, wait, what's worse than disaster? Oh yeah, my picks last week. Because only three of my six teaser legs won, that means only one of the twenty possible combinations won. So I went from 26-23, up 1.9 units, to 27-42, down 15.3 units. Jesus Tapdancing Christ.
I will not climb out of this hole. But there's no actual money on these picks, so I'll keep making them. I will even tack on exactly one three-team teaser.
Cincinnati +4 vs. Pittsburgh: Again, I must be out of my mind, but we'll know whether the Bengals are as good as their 6-2 record would indicate.
Houston -3 at Tampa Bay: The Bucs are not really very good. Their playoff appearance last year seems like a distant memory now. The Texans, formerly known for a wide-open passing attack, now lead the league in rushing. They play defense now, as well.
Carolina -3 vs. Tennessee: The Panthers are much, much better than their record. The Titans are worse. Next.
Detroit +3 at Chicago: The Lions are eager to make a statement and put a serious crimp in the Bears' wild-card hopes.
Baltimore at Seattle under 41 points: The Ravens could be a little flat here after their big win in Pittsburgh last week. But Seattle won't make an offensive impression on the Baltimore defense. I'll avoid the side and just take the under.
Here's the teaser legs:
Detroit +8.5
St. Louis +8.5 at Cleveland
New England +8.5 at New York Jets
I will not climb out of this hole. But there's no actual money on these picks, so I'll keep making them. I will even tack on exactly one three-team teaser.
Cincinnati +4 vs. Pittsburgh: Again, I must be out of my mind, but we'll know whether the Bengals are as good as their 6-2 record would indicate.
Houston -3 at Tampa Bay: The Bucs are not really very good. Their playoff appearance last year seems like a distant memory now. The Texans, formerly known for a wide-open passing attack, now lead the league in rushing. They play defense now, as well.
Carolina -3 vs. Tennessee: The Panthers are much, much better than their record. The Titans are worse. Next.
Detroit +3 at Chicago: The Lions are eager to make a statement and put a serious crimp in the Bears' wild-card hopes.
Baltimore at Seattle under 41 points: The Ravens could be a little flat here after their big win in Pittsburgh last week. But Seattle won't make an offensive impression on the Baltimore defense. I'll avoid the side and just take the under.
Here's the teaser legs:
Detroit +8.5
St. Louis +8.5 at Cleveland
New England +8.5 at New York Jets
Wednesday, November 02, 2011
NFL Week Nine Picks
Seizing an opportunity on Wednesday, while the lines are available. I am taking a shot at the myriad teaser opportunities available right now. Each possible three-team combination of the games below is a separate bet that pays 1.8 to 1. There are 20 combinations, so the range of possible outcomes runs from the thrill of victory to the agony of defeat. As usual, I'll keep all the math straight. There may or may not be additional straight picks later in the week. Here are the teaser legs.
New Orleans -2 vs. Tampa Bay
New York Jets +7.5 at Buffalo
Oakland -2 vs. Denver
Cincinnati +8.5 at Tennessee
New England -2.5 vs. New York Giants
Philadelphia -2 vs. Chicago
New Orleans -2 vs. Tampa Bay
New York Jets +7.5 at Buffalo
Oakland -2 vs. Denver
Cincinnati +8.5 at Tennessee
New England -2.5 vs. New York Giants
Philadelphia -2 vs. Chicago