Saturday, November 12, 2005

 

NFL Week 10 Picks

I went 3-2-1 last week, making me 21-25-2 for the season. I am closing in on .500, but not fast enough. I need a big week. Here's six more picks, in no particular order.

Green Bay +9.5 at Atlanta: The Pack is starting to exhibit a real pattern. They play very competitively for most of the game, but fail to make the plays down the stretch needed to win. This is tough news if you're a Packer fan, but it's golden if you're a degenerate gambler. I am on the Packers every game they get seven or more points, the rest of the year.

Kansas City +2.5 at Buffalo: It is true that the Chiefs are better at home, but it's not a huge difference. The Bills are mediocre in Buffalo, Kansas City or Zimbabwe. Take the better team and the points.

Chicago -13.5 vs. San Francisco: The Niners have had some respectable performances at home. They are not at home on Sunday. Even without their starting tailback, the Bears should grind out the yards and points.

Indianapolis -17.5 vs. Houston: Probably the largest spread of the year. Don't worry about it. The best team in the league is playing the worst; there's supposed to be a big spread. If Texans RB Domanick Davis (game-time decision) doesn't play, this could get uglier than Scooter Libby's job search.

New York Giants -9.5 vs. Minnesota: I admit to being a little spooked by how well the Giants have played, and have been waiting for them to come back to earth. But their offense is just too good, and the Vikings defense is just too bad.

Seattle -7 vs. St. Louis: The Seahawks are very good indeed at home. The Rams are pretty bad indeed on the road. Although the Rams have been running the ball more since mad-scientist Coach Mike Martz stepped aside, they will fall behind early in this one and be forced to abandon the run. On a rainy day in Seattle. Next stop, Turnover City.

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