Saturday, December 03, 2005

 

NFL Week 13 Picks

A3-4-1 weekend makes my season record 31-36-3, which is miserable. When will the madness end? My guess is, about the same time football season does.

Baltimore vs. Houston over 38 points: Both offenses, MIA for most of the season, have been sighted. More importantly, the Ravens' defense has been ravaged by injury, and the Texans' defense has been ravaged by ineptitude. I would have taken the over at 42 points; at 38, it's a bargain.

Green Bay +7 at Chicago: The Packers have been awful at winning football games this year, but they've been pretty good at covering spreads. I don't think the Bears can score enough to bury them.

Cincinnati +3.5 at Pittsburgh: The Bengals are primed for revenge after getting punked at home in the first matchup. Steelers QB Ben Roethlisberger is dealing with an assortment of injuries, and that will be the difference on Sunday.

New Orleans +3.5 vs Tampa Bay: The Saints have inexplicably owned the Bucs in recent years. Quarterback Chris Simms has a well-documented history of erratic play in the state of Texas, which the Saints are calling home this week. This will be considered an upset, but it shouldn't.

St. Louis +3 vs. Washington: The Rams are not bad at home, offensively at least. The Redskins's defense continues its late-season slide. Two explosive offenses plus two suspect defenses means I like the over 45.5 points total as well.

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