Saturday, September 09, 2006
NFL Week 1 Picks
This post begins another season of picks against the spread. It should be fairly easy to improve on last year's horrific performance. One change: the source for the spread will be Bodog Sports, one of the offshore books our government is so zealously persecuting instead of, I don't know, securing the ports or finding Osama bin Laden.
Green Bay +4 vs. Chicago: The Bears' offense is bad and their defense is good. This will be a low-scoring game, where one should always take the points. In fact, I am so confident this will be a punting contest that I will also take the under 35 points total.
Indianapolis at New York Giants under 48 points: This is a pure contrarian play. Far too much hype out there about the Manning brothers and the offenses at their command. Guess what? Both defenses are pretty good too.
Minnesota at Washington over 35 points: The number just looks low to me. No insightful analysis here; it's allowed to listen to your gut occasionally.
San Diego -3 at Oakland: The Chargers have approximately twice the team the Raiders do. Which is appropriate, since I would have laid six points just as fast. This thing will be over in the third quarter, and Raiderfan will get ugly. Get ugly? How can you tell?
Green Bay +4 vs. Chicago: The Bears' offense is bad and their defense is good. This will be a low-scoring game, where one should always take the points. In fact, I am so confident this will be a punting contest that I will also take the under 35 points total.
Indianapolis at New York Giants under 48 points: This is a pure contrarian play. Far too much hype out there about the Manning brothers and the offenses at their command. Guess what? Both defenses are pretty good too.
Minnesota at Washington over 35 points: The number just looks low to me. No insightful analysis here; it's allowed to listen to your gut occasionally.
San Diego -3 at Oakland: The Chargers have approximately twice the team the Raiders do. Which is appropriate, since I would have laid six points just as fast. This thing will be over in the third quarter, and Raiderfan will get ugly. Get ugly? How can you tell?
