Saturday, September 23, 2006
NFL Week 3 Picks
I went 3-2 last week, making my season record 6-3-1. It would appear I have shaken off last year's funk.
But now things get serious. I will be on the first flight to Las Vegas on Sunday, making an OJ-like run (minus the white Bronco) through the airport to reach the Stardust sportsbook before the early games start. Because my actual money will be on the line, I cannot guarantee that I will play the picks listed here. I will report fully on my results, but for the purposes of this blog, only these picks will count.
Indianapolis -7 vs. Jacksonville: The Jaguars are getting some respect, as this line opened at nine. I think the Colts can put up 30 on anybody at home, and I don't think the Jags can get past 20 in the Hoosierdome.
Green Bay+7 at Detroit: I know, I know. Two of my three losses are due to the Packers, and Brett Favre's history in domed stadiums is well documented. So what's wrong with me? Nothing; there's something terribly wrong with this line. Detoilet shouldn't be seven-point favorites to the Little Sisters of the Poor.
Chicago -4 at Minnesota: The Vikings are doing it with smoke and mirrors. The Bears are doing it with brutish, violent defense. This line has moved from three to four this week, which changes absolutely nothing in my mind.
Baltimore -7 at Cleveland: The Ravens are very similar to the Bears, but Cleveland is far worse than the Vikings. The Browns will be fortunate indeed if they don't get shut out.
Philadelphia at San Francisco over 42 points: Both these teams have much-improved offenses from last year. Both teams have question marks on defense, the Eagles due to injury, the Niners due to being bad. Gimme the over.
But now things get serious. I will be on the first flight to Las Vegas on Sunday, making an OJ-like run (minus the white Bronco) through the airport to reach the Stardust sportsbook before the early games start. Because my actual money will be on the line, I cannot guarantee that I will play the picks listed here. I will report fully on my results, but for the purposes of this blog, only these picks will count.
Indianapolis -7 vs. Jacksonville: The Jaguars are getting some respect, as this line opened at nine. I think the Colts can put up 30 on anybody at home, and I don't think the Jags can get past 20 in the Hoosierdome.
Green Bay+7 at Detroit: I know, I know. Two of my three losses are due to the Packers, and Brett Favre's history in domed stadiums is well documented. So what's wrong with me? Nothing; there's something terribly wrong with this line. Detoilet shouldn't be seven-point favorites to the Little Sisters of the Poor.
Chicago -4 at Minnesota: The Vikings are doing it with smoke and mirrors. The Bears are doing it with brutish, violent defense. This line has moved from three to four this week, which changes absolutely nothing in my mind.
Baltimore -7 at Cleveland: The Ravens are very similar to the Bears, but Cleveland is far worse than the Vikings. The Browns will be fortunate indeed if they don't get shut out.
Philadelphia at San Francisco over 42 points: Both these teams have much-improved offenses from last year. Both teams have question marks on defense, the Eagles due to injury, the Niners due to being bad. Gimme the over.
