Friday, October 13, 2006

 

NFL Week Six Picks

Making my picks on Friday night instead of Saturday morning this week, as I have a tennis tournament this weekend. Should I survive, expect updates in this space.

My picks went 3-2-1 last week, making my season record 14-11-4. I think I'm getting the hang of this. Here's five more reasons to risk your financial future.

Houston at Dallas over 43 points: The Cowboys are due to bounce back in a big way this week. They will probably cover the generous 13.5-point spread, but their suspect pass defense makes the over the smart play. Texans WR Andre Johnson is Terrell Owens without the personality disorder.

Kansas City +7 at Pittsburgh: The defending champs haven't looked like one all year. Neither are the Chiefs, but they will keep this one close enough to cover, even if they don't win.

San Diego -10.5 at San Francisco: Just because the Niners can flatten the Raiders doesn't mean they won't get flattened by the Chargers. This is the first of three heavy favorites I am picking to cover, a dangerous strategy in the long term. But this week, these favorites are going to take their opponents behind the woodshed and administer a fearsome beating.

Denver -15 vs. Oakland: The conventional wisdom is that you can't lay this many points in a rivalry game. Conventional wisdom is a shortcut to the poorhouse. This Raider team appears to care more about cashing their paychecks than beating their rivals. Broncos Head Coach Skeletor (errr, Shanahan) is another story. Even if the Raiders don't hate him, he really, really hates them. Jeez, you fire a coach one time....

Chicago -11.5 at Arizona: The Bears are not the biggest favorite of the week. Can anyone tell me why? On Monday night, with the rest of the league watching, the Bears will look to make a loud statement. New Cardinals QB Matt Leinart is in for a harsh education on the realities of pro football.

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