Saturday, November 18, 2006
NFL Week 11 Picks
I went 3-3 last week, running my season record to 28-26-5. Not good enough to start looking for a house in Vegas, but much better than last year. Here's seven more for this weekend.
New York Jets +7 vs. Chicago: I'm not denying that the Bears are the better team. But if you can beat the Patriots in Foxboro, you can stay within a touchdown of the Bears at home.
Washington +3 at Tampa Bay: A quarterback making his first career start on the road? Well, it worked for the Cowboys, and Little Danny Snyder is sure he can do anything Jerry Jones can do. Being out of the playoff chase will actually help the Redskins.
Houston -2.5 vs Buffalo: The Texans are favored? In football, right? Surely, clocks will run backward, and lions will whelp in the streets. Take them anyway.
St. Louis +7 at Carolina: The Panthers have two All-World players in Steve Smith and Julius Peppers, but surprisingly little else. They should not be a touchdown favorite over a team with as many weapons as the Rams.
Cleveland +4 vs. Pittsburgh: I don't think all is suddenly well with the champs, just because they outscored the Saints last week. I also think the masses of people who DO think the Steelers are 'fixed' have inflated the line, creating value with the lowly Browns.
Detroit +2 at Arizona: The wrong team is getting the points here. The Cardinals should not be favored in a game until they, I don't know, win one.
Indianapolis at Dallas over 49 points: I cannot bring myself to pick a side on this one, so let's just go with the total, which could sail past sixty.
New York Jets +7 vs. Chicago: I'm not denying that the Bears are the better team. But if you can beat the Patriots in Foxboro, you can stay within a touchdown of the Bears at home.
Washington +3 at Tampa Bay: A quarterback making his first career start on the road? Well, it worked for the Cowboys, and Little Danny Snyder is sure he can do anything Jerry Jones can do. Being out of the playoff chase will actually help the Redskins.
Houston -2.5 vs Buffalo: The Texans are favored? In football, right? Surely, clocks will run backward, and lions will whelp in the streets. Take them anyway.
St. Louis +7 at Carolina: The Panthers have two All-World players in Steve Smith and Julius Peppers, but surprisingly little else. They should not be a touchdown favorite over a team with as many weapons as the Rams.
Cleveland +4 vs. Pittsburgh: I don't think all is suddenly well with the champs, just because they outscored the Saints last week. I also think the masses of people who DO think the Steelers are 'fixed' have inflated the line, creating value with the lowly Browns.
Detroit +2 at Arizona: The wrong team is getting the points here. The Cardinals should not be favored in a game until they, I don't know, win one.
Indianapolis at Dallas over 49 points: I cannot bring myself to pick a side on this one, so let's just go with the total, which could sail past sixty.
