Saturday, December 16, 2006

 

NFL Week 15 Picks

My struggle for consistency continues. Still the poster boy for mediocrity, my picks were 3-3 last week, making my season record 38-39-7. Although it is unlikely that I will reach a profit position, I will keep on plugging along, all the way through the Super Bowl. Here's six more picks as we head down the stretch.

New York Jets +3.5 at Minnesota: The better team is getting the points here. The Jets are a legitimate playoff contender, even though they don't particularly impress on offense, defense or special teams. They just get it done. The Vikings, on the other hand, have a decent defense, but their already limited offense is now beset by injuries. Because of these factors, I also like the under 41 points total.

St. Louis +2.5 at Oakland: It is true that the Rams are not very good. It is also true that you are a fool if you depend on the Raiders to cover for you. The Rams' still-superior talent at the skill positions will lead to victory.

Philadelphia +6 at New York Giants: I think the Giants will win this game, but the mental toughness of Eagles QB Jeff Garcia will keep it close. Hell, he might win, because mental toughness is not the Giants' long suit. They are a team on a season-long brink of implosion and coach-firing.

Kansas City at San Diego over 46.5 points: I think the Chargers will win, and probably cover the 9-point spread. But a monkey wrench has been lobbed into the machinery; namely, the death of Chiefs owner Lamar Hunt. His team, which defeated the Bolts once already this year, will very likely make a maximal effort this week. The over is the safer play.

Cincinnati +3.5 at Indianapolis: Stat of the week--the Colts are last in the league at run defense, and the Bengals are last in pass defense. But there's a lie in those stats. The Bengals' pass defense has markedly improved over the last few weeks, but the Colts are still getting gutted like a fish. These teams are moving in different directions, and I want the one moving upward.

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