Friday, January 04, 2008
NFL Wild Card Picfks
My picks went 1-4 last week. They should have been 2-3, but though I was set to take the over on the Steelers-Ravens game, I inexplicably took Pittsburgh when I posted the entry. I was livid when I realized the error, far too late to change it. I could not possibly make that error in a sports book.
Nevertheless, as Bill Parcells says, "you are what your record says you are." My record says I am 45-40 for the season. Due to the house's edge, this is only one game better than break-even. I am not exactly on a roll entering the playoffs, traditionally my weakest part of the season. But my keyboard still works, which means I will keep making picks.
Jacksonville at Pittsburgh over 39.5 points: A contrarian pick. Two good defenses give up more than anyone thinks they should.
Seattle -3.5 vs. Washington: The Redskins' dramatic run after the murder of safety Sean Taylor will come to an end. The long travel after a short week, the loud crowd, the weather, the Seahawks...it will all be too much, in the end, for them to handle.
Tennessee +10 at San Diego: Do I think the Titans will win this game? Heavens, no. They are just too good a defense to be spotted ten points it what will likely be a low-scoring game.
New York Giants at Tampa Bay over 39.5 points: Both teams' defenses are actually pretty good against the run, and can rush the quarterback. However, they can be beaten over the top, and there will be enough big plays to send this game over the number.
Nevertheless, as Bill Parcells says, "you are what your record says you are." My record says I am 45-40 for the season. Due to the house's edge, this is only one game better than break-even. I am not exactly on a roll entering the playoffs, traditionally my weakest part of the season. But my keyboard still works, which means I will keep making picks.
Jacksonville at Pittsburgh over 39.5 points: A contrarian pick. Two good defenses give up more than anyone thinks they should.
Seattle -3.5 vs. Washington: The Redskins' dramatic run after the murder of safety Sean Taylor will come to an end. The long travel after a short week, the loud crowd, the weather, the Seahawks...it will all be too much, in the end, for them to handle.
Tennessee +10 at San Diego: Do I think the Titans will win this game? Heavens, no. They are just too good a defense to be spotted ten points it what will likely be a low-scoring game.
New York Giants at Tampa Bay over 39.5 points: Both teams' defenses are actually pretty good against the run, and can rush the quarterback. However, they can be beaten over the top, and there will be enough big plays to send this game over the number.
