Sunday, October 12, 2008

 

NFL Week Six Picks

My picks were 2-2-1 last week, making my season record 17-6. Was it a bump in the road, or am I about to head south like the stock market? I don't have the benefit of a government bailout package, so here's a six-pack of picks to get back on track.

New Orleans -6.5 vs. Oakland: This is just a gut feeling that the Saints will rebound strongly from their Monday night disappointment. The Raiders changed coaches and are coming off a bye, but it's not like they suddenly stopped sucking or anything.

Baltimore +4.5 at Indianapolis: The Colts have yet to win in their new stadium. That can't last forever, but the Ravens are a bad matchup for them. Peyton Manning may figure out how to steal this one at the end, but the Ravens and the points are the play.

Miami +3 at Houston: It certainly appears the wrong team is favored here. The Texans are winless, while the Dolphins have just beaten the teams that played for the AFC Championship last year. I suspect the oddsmakers have laid a trap for us here, but I'm going to walk right in, and hedge my bet by taking the over 44 points total as well.

Denver -3.5 vs Jacksonville: The Jaguars are trying to shake off their injuries and poor start, but a road trip to the high altitude of Denver is not exactly a tonic. The Broncos offense is red-hot, and should have enough to cover.

Green Bay +2 at Seattle: The Seahawks are another team with a historically strong home-field advantage, but it simply isn't enough. They are missing their QB, and wideout Deion Branch came back from injury for a good fifteen minutes before the wind changed direction, and he got hurt again. The Packers are not missing critical players, and they have considerable urgency to stop their three-game losing streak.

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