Sunday, November 16, 2008
NFL Week Eleven Picks
My picks went 3-2 last week, bringing my record to 32-16 on the season. My record is, incredibly, equivalent to a professional who is having a great year. It remains to be seen whether I can keep this going all the way to the finish. Here's this week's picks.
Baltimore +7 at New York Giants: The Giants have been playing very well indeed of late, which means they are due for a clunker. The Ravens may not have enough offense to win this game, but they certainly have enough defense to keep it close.
Indianapolis -8 vs. Houston: Earlier this season, the Colts were extremely fortunate to have a game handed to them by Texans backup QB Sage Rosenfels. This time the Colts are at home, and guess who's back in the lineup? Yep, human turnover machine Sage Rosenfels. Houston, you have a problem.
Chicago at Green Bay over 43 points: This just looks low to me. The Packers' defense has been gutted by injuries, so the Bears should be good for 20 points. Green Bay's season hangs in the balance, so I think they will find a way to win, but I'm not confident enough to lay 3.5 points on them. The over looks good, though.
Philadelphia at Cincinnati over 41 points: The Eagles should be good for 30 on their own against the Bengals' defense, which couldn't stop Villanova. This makes a pretty low bar for the Cincy's offense to clear, in order to reach the over.
Washington +1.5 vs Dallas: For the life of me, I don't understand why Dallas is favored, on the road, in a rivalry game. It appears to be related to the injury to Skins stud RB, Clinton Portis. Here's a tip: Ladell Betts is one the best backups in the league. The return of Tony Romo at QB for the Cowboys will not help their defense one bit.
Baltimore +7 at New York Giants: The Giants have been playing very well indeed of late, which means they are due for a clunker. The Ravens may not have enough offense to win this game, but they certainly have enough defense to keep it close.
Indianapolis -8 vs. Houston: Earlier this season, the Colts were extremely fortunate to have a game handed to them by Texans backup QB Sage Rosenfels. This time the Colts are at home, and guess who's back in the lineup? Yep, human turnover machine Sage Rosenfels. Houston, you have a problem.
Chicago at Green Bay over 43 points: This just looks low to me. The Packers' defense has been gutted by injuries, so the Bears should be good for 20 points. Green Bay's season hangs in the balance, so I think they will find a way to win, but I'm not confident enough to lay 3.5 points on them. The over looks good, though.
Philadelphia at Cincinnati over 41 points: The Eagles should be good for 30 on their own against the Bengals' defense, which couldn't stop Villanova. This makes a pretty low bar for the Cincy's offense to clear, in order to reach the over.
Washington +1.5 vs Dallas: For the life of me, I don't understand why Dallas is favored, on the road, in a rivalry game. It appears to be related to the injury to Skins stud RB, Clinton Portis. Here's a tip: Ladell Betts is one the best backups in the league. The return of Tony Romo at QB for the Cowboys will not help their defense one bit.
