Sunday, November 09, 2008
NFL Week Ten Picks
My 5-0 performance last week improves my season record to 29-14, and changes my outlook from fear to arrogance. Here's five more winners.
Tennessee -3 at Chicago: I think the Titans would have covered this spread if the Bears had their starting quarterback. Since they will be using the feckless Rex Grossman, I don't like their chances at all.
New Orleans +1.5 at Atlanta: The Falcons' resurrection this season is definitely a feel-good story, but it is largely built on beating up bad teams. They don't fare as well against more established powers. Not that the Saints are world-beaters, but they are a veteran squad coming off their bye week.
Miami -7.5 vs. Seattle: The Seahawks have never traveled particularly well. The Dolphins are better than anybody thought, including Vegas linesmakers.
Green Bay +2.5 at Minnesota: Nobody runs the ball on the Vikings. Their run defense is outstanding...and their pass defense is pathetic. All of which suits the Packers just fine.
San Francisco at Arizona over 46 points: The 49ers are generating no pass rush, so the venerable Kurt Warner will defenestrate them. As they build a lead, their defense will fall asleep, allowing the Niners to score some as well.
Tennessee -3 at Chicago: I think the Titans would have covered this spread if the Bears had their starting quarterback. Since they will be using the feckless Rex Grossman, I don't like their chances at all.
New Orleans +1.5 at Atlanta: The Falcons' resurrection this season is definitely a feel-good story, but it is largely built on beating up bad teams. They don't fare as well against more established powers. Not that the Saints are world-beaters, but they are a veteran squad coming off their bye week.
Miami -7.5 vs. Seattle: The Seahawks have never traveled particularly well. The Dolphins are better than anybody thought, including Vegas linesmakers.
Green Bay +2.5 at Minnesota: Nobody runs the ball on the Vikings. Their run defense is outstanding...and their pass defense is pathetic. All of which suits the Packers just fine.
San Francisco at Arizona over 46 points: The 49ers are generating no pass rush, so the venerable Kurt Warner will defenestrate them. As they build a lead, their defense will fall asleep, allowing the Niners to score some as well.
