Sunday, September 27, 2009
NFL Week Three Picks
A lousy 2-3 week lowers my record to 6-5 for the season. Time to pull it back together.
New York Giants at Tampa Bay under 46.5 points: There are weather concerns here, as well as the feeling that the Bucs won't be able to do a thing against the Giants defense. I think the Giants will win, but I don't like the spread, so I'll take the under.
Seattle +3 vs. Chicago: The injury to Seahawks QB Matt Hasselbeck has made them a home underdog. The backup, Seneca Wallace, is better than most suspect. The last visit by the Bears was not in the lifetime of most of their players, and Seattle is a notoriously tough place to play.
Carolina at Dallas under 48 points: This total has been rising all week. I am simply making a contrarian play here, as the public is so often wrong.
San Diego -4.5 vs. Miami, and:
Arizona -2.5 vs. Indianapolis: Both of these plays are for the same reason, so I'll discuss them together. Teams that play on Monday night and then have a road game the next week generally don't fare well. I am going to play against both of them and see what happens.
New York Giants at Tampa Bay under 46.5 points: There are weather concerns here, as well as the feeling that the Bucs won't be able to do a thing against the Giants defense. I think the Giants will win, but I don't like the spread, so I'll take the under.
Seattle +3 vs. Chicago: The injury to Seahawks QB Matt Hasselbeck has made them a home underdog. The backup, Seneca Wallace, is better than most suspect. The last visit by the Bears was not in the lifetime of most of their players, and Seattle is a notoriously tough place to play.
Carolina at Dallas under 48 points: This total has been rising all week. I am simply making a contrarian play here, as the public is so often wrong.
San Diego -4.5 vs. Miami, and:
Arizona -2.5 vs. Indianapolis: Both of these plays are for the same reason, so I'll discuss them together. Teams that play on Monday night and then have a road game the next week generally don't fare well. I am going to play against both of them and see what happens.