Saturday, December 03, 2011
NFL Week 13 Picks
Missed on my Hail Mary last week, so I am now 35-50, -14.1 units for the season. There is no quit in me, so I have four games where I think the wrong team is favored, plus one totals pick. Oh, and another Hail Mary. It's the only way to get out of the hole. Let's get to it.
Tennessee +2 at Buffalo: The Bills certainly have the look of a team that has packed it in. The Titans are hardly world-beaters but are giving good effort to their remote playoff chances.
Houston +3 vs. Atlanta: Counting on a third-string quarterback seems risky, but all T. J. Yates has to do is hand the ball to the league's best rushing attack, and let their vastly-improved defense do its thing. The Falcons are ripe for a letdown in this spot, on the road and out of conference.
Carolina +3 at Tampa Bay: The Panthers are the better team, getting points. QB Cam Newton is looking like the second coming of Daunte Culpepper, minus the prostitute-littered boating issues.
Denver +2 at Minnesota: What everybody has missed during The Ascension of Tebow is that Denver Coach John Fox knows how to put together a defense. That defense has allowed an option-based offense to work in the short term. I don't know how Saint Timmy will pull this one out, but I'm getting tired of being wrong...in the short term.
Green Bay at New York Giants over 52.5 points: The weather won't be horrible, so the Packers offense cannot be stopped. Giants QB Eli Manning is capable of big days too, and will need one to hang around in this one. I see both teams going up and down the field.
And now, this week's Hail Mary. I am taking every four-team combination of these five teasers. That's five separate bets that each pay 3-1. Here's the teaser legs:
Tennessee +7.5
Chicago -1.5 vs Kansas City
Washington +8.5 vs. New York Jets
Houston +8.5
Denver +7.5
Tennessee +2 at Buffalo: The Bills certainly have the look of a team that has packed it in. The Titans are hardly world-beaters but are giving good effort to their remote playoff chances.
Houston +3 vs. Atlanta: Counting on a third-string quarterback seems risky, but all T. J. Yates has to do is hand the ball to the league's best rushing attack, and let their vastly-improved defense do its thing. The Falcons are ripe for a letdown in this spot, on the road and out of conference.
Carolina +3 at Tampa Bay: The Panthers are the better team, getting points. QB Cam Newton is looking like the second coming of Daunte Culpepper, minus the prostitute-littered boating issues.
Denver +2 at Minnesota: What everybody has missed during The Ascension of Tebow is that Denver Coach John Fox knows how to put together a defense. That defense has allowed an option-based offense to work in the short term. I don't know how Saint Timmy will pull this one out, but I'm getting tired of being wrong...in the short term.
Green Bay at New York Giants over 52.5 points: The weather won't be horrible, so the Packers offense cannot be stopped. Giants QB Eli Manning is capable of big days too, and will need one to hang around in this one. I see both teams going up and down the field.
And now, this week's Hail Mary. I am taking every four-team combination of these five teasers. That's five separate bets that each pay 3-1. Here's the teaser legs:
Tennessee +7.5
Chicago -1.5 vs Kansas City
Washington +8.5 vs. New York Jets
Houston +8.5
Denver +7.5
