Saturday, October 19, 2013
NFL Week Seven Picks
Well, I did say the trend was unsustainable. Last week, I was 2-4, -2.3 units. For the season, my record stands at 12-17, +3.9 units. Here are this week's picks.
Kansas City -6 vs. Houston: The Texans are going to throw a quarterback named Case Keenum out there, making his first NFL start, in the league's loudest stadium, against a team that had TEN sacks last week. If the Chiefs don't score on defense, I will be shocked.
Chicago +1 at Washington: Seriously? The Redskins should not be favored over average teams, and the Bears are at least one cut above that. Even on the road, they should win handily.
Dallas +3 at Philadelphia: I think these teams are fairly evenly matched, so I'll happily take a field goal. I also suspect this game will resemble a track meet, so I will take the over 55 total points.
Indianapolis +250 over Denver (money line): Yes, I think the Colts have a decent chance to win this game outright, so rather than take the 6.5 points offered on the spread, I'll take the 2.5 to 1 payday on the upset. The Broncos have looked impressive, but have played nobody.
And another five-team, six-point teaser, pays 4.5 to 1:
San Diego -1.5 at Jacksonville
Cincinnati +8.5 at Detroit
Miami -1.5 vs. Buffalo
Dallas +8.5
Baltimore +8 at Pittsburgh
Kansas City -6 vs. Houston: The Texans are going to throw a quarterback named Case Keenum out there, making his first NFL start, in the league's loudest stadium, against a team that had TEN sacks last week. If the Chiefs don't score on defense, I will be shocked.
Chicago +1 at Washington: Seriously? The Redskins should not be favored over average teams, and the Bears are at least one cut above that. Even on the road, they should win handily.
Dallas +3 at Philadelphia: I think these teams are fairly evenly matched, so I'll happily take a field goal. I also suspect this game will resemble a track meet, so I will take the over 55 total points.
Indianapolis +250 over Denver (money line): Yes, I think the Colts have a decent chance to win this game outright, so rather than take the 6.5 points offered on the spread, I'll take the 2.5 to 1 payday on the upset. The Broncos have looked impressive, but have played nobody.
And another five-team, six-point teaser, pays 4.5 to 1:
San Diego -1.5 at Jacksonville
Cincinnati +8.5 at Detroit
Miami -1.5 vs. Buffalo
Dallas +8.5
Baltimore +8 at Pittsburgh
