Saturday, September 20, 2014

 

NFL Week Three Picks

For Week One, I went 3-2, +1.4 units. Week Two I was in Vegas and my bets went 4-2, +2.5 units, and I'm counting them. That makes my season record 7-4, +3.9 units. Here's this week's picks.

Houston +1.5 at New York Giants:  The Texans don't deserve a lot of confidence in this spot, but they have played better than the Giants so far, and they're getting points. I have to pull the trigger, but I probably won't watch.

Arizona +3 vs. San Francisco:  Again, I'm going against the team that just has to win. But underdogs at home are as reliable as anything in this endeavor.

Denver +5.5 at Seattle:  OK, now I'm a little loopy, right? I mean, we saw this in February on a neutral field. But you don't get Peyton Manning and points very often, and you have to take them. Also, I'll take the over 48 points total.

Green Bay at Detroit over 52 points:  Two dangerous offenses, two confused defenses, in a dome. What's not to like? This thing might get to 70.

Lastly, a four-team, six-point teaser, pays 2.5 to 1 if it hits:

San Diego +8.5 at Buffalo
St. Louis +7.5 vs. Dallas
Cleveland +7.5 vs. Baltimore
Green Bay +8 at Detroit

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