Sunday, January 21, 2007


NFL Conference Championship Picks

My picks were 2-0 last week, bringing my season record to 53-46-7. I wish now I had taken all four underdogs, but in the interest of tighter quality control, I selected only the two strongest plays. It will be similar this week, though in two weeks I plan to blow it out with Super Bowl propositions.

New Orleans +2.5 at Chicago: I am drinking the Saints Kool-Aid, deeply. They have the most diverse and effective offense in the NFL. The funny thing is, many of the pieces were widely available. Right now, there are billionaires in New York and Dallas that wish they had kept Coach Sean Payton around. Also, there is a billionaire in Miami who wishes he hadn't passed on QB Drew Brees in the offseason. WR Marques Colston was so unheralded, only three players were drafted after him. The Saints have the aura of destiny to them, while the Bears have been barely good enough, which won't cut it this week.

Indianapolis vs. New England under 48 points: I just can't make a call on the outcome of this game. I think it is finally the time for the Colts to overcome the Patriots' mystique. (Destiny? Mystique? Am I spending too much time in strip clubs?) On the other hand, you would have to be crazy to to pick against the Pats after last week. So I'm bailing on the side, and picking the total. I'm thinking something like way or the other.

Friday, January 12, 2007


NFL Divisional Playoff Picks

I was 1-2 last week, making my season record 51-46-7. Keeping it short and sweet this week, as it is late and I have a tennis tournament tomorrow. If I live, I might report on that.

Philadelphia +6 at New Orleans

New England +4.5 at San Diego

Friday, January 05, 2007


NFL Wild-Card Picks

It's playoff time. Does it get any better than this? Actually, yes; next week the really good teams will be playing. A 3-2 week ends the regular season at 50-44-7. If had bet these games, at these spreads, in a Vegas sportsbook, I would have risked $1,111 to win $18. I better keep the day job. I will keep making picks, though value gets harder to find with fewer games.

Kansas City at Indianapolis under 51 points: This number is a bit high, because the Chiefs do not score points in bunches.

Philadelphia -7 vs. New York Giants: The Eagles are hotter than the sun, while the Giants are colder than the depths of interstellar space. Don't get me wrong--the G-men will hang tough into the third quarter before Philly pulls away. Because of this, I also like the over 45.5 points total.

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